What To Do With MERS?

Albert_V_Bryan_Federal_District_Courthouse_-_Alexandria_Va

Bloomberg BNA quoted me in More Policy Queries As MERS Racks Up Court Wins (behind a paywall). The article further discusses the case I had blogged about earlier this week.  It reads, in part,

Mortgage Electronic Registration Systems, Inc. (MERS), the keeper of a major piece of the U.S. housing market’s infrastructure, has beaten back the latest court challenge to its national tracking system, even as criticism of the company keeps coming (Montgomery County v. MERSCORP, Inc., 2015 BL 247363, 3d Cir., No. 14-cv-04315, 8/3/15). In an Aug. 3 decision, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit reversed a lower court ruling in favor of Nancy J. Becker, the recorder of deeds for Montgomery County, Pa., whose lawsuit claimed MERS illegally sidestepped millions of dollars in recording fees.

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MERS has faced an array of critics, including those who say its tracking system is cloaked in secrecy. MERS disagrees, and provides a web portal for homeowners seeking information.

A host of friend-of-the-court briefs filed in the Third Circuit blasted the company, including one filed in March by law school professors who said the MERS system “has introduced unprecedented opacity and incompleteness to the record of interests in real estate.”

One of those, Brooklyn Law School Professor David Reiss, Aug. 6 raised the question whether MERS, though not a servicer, might be the subject of increased oversight.

“The problems consumers faced during the foreclosure crisis were compounded by MERS,” Reiss told Bloomberg BNA. “Those issues have not been resolved by the MERS litigation, and it would be interesting to see if the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will seek to regulate MERS as an important player in the servicing industry. It would also be interesting to see whether state regulators will pick the ball in this area by further regulating MERS to increase transparency and procedural fairness for homeowners,” he said.

Reiss on Paying off Underwater Mortgages

MainStreet.com quoted me in What Bills Should You Pay First? It reads in part,

Consumers started prioritizing their mortgage payments ahead of their credit card payments as of September 2013, according to a new TransUnion study.

This reverses a trend that began in September 2008 when the mortgage crisis drove consumers to pay their credit cards bills ahead of mortgages. Consumers have placed an emphasis on paying their auto loans before their mortgages and credit card payments by a wide margin – since at least 2003, TransUnion said. The study obtained anonymous consumer information from December 2002 through December 2012, and each monthly sample included about 2.5 million consumers.

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Many consumers were faced with devaluing home prices and chose to preserve their credit line, said David Reiss, professor of law at Brooklyn Law School in New York.

“The underwater mortgage may have seemed like a sinkhole when prices were dropping and putting limited funds into it might have seemed like throwing good money after bad,” he said. “When a household’s income can’t cover all of its expenses, it has to prioritize its payments. If the mortgage is underwater, it may make sense to use those limited funds to protect assets that are integral to daily living and wage earning like an auto or to focus on tools like credit cards that may have some use going forward, if there is still any available credit left.”

Homeowners have reversed that logic with the rebound of housing prices, Reiss said.”If homeowners have equity in their home from those rising prices, prioritizing the mortgage protects that equity and keeps the household in the house to boot,” he said. “Not everyone makes such a calculation, but many do.”

Replacing Rating Agencies

Although rating agencies have been the subject of much criticism, including much from yours truly, (here for instance) there is no clearly superior replacement for the existing business model.  Even worse, there is not even much theoretical work on alternatives. Thus, it is exciting to see that Becker and Opp have posted a new paper, Replacing Ratings, that at least considers a plausible alternative.

Their paper examines “a unique change in how capital requirements are assigned to insurance holdings of mortgage-backed securities. The change replaced credit ratings with regulator-paid risk assessments by Pimco and BlackRock.” (1) But their analysis did not “find evidence for more accurate inputs to regulation.” (3, emphasis removed) Indeed, their “empirical analysis reveals that the old system was better able to discriminate between risks. As a result, the old system based on ratings not only provided higher levels of capital, but also ensured that capital was more appropriately related to risks.” (3-4)

By the end of their analysis, they believe that “the new system only recognizes current (expected) losses, but does not provide any buffer against possible future losses. Our results are consistent with regulatory changes being largely driven by industry interests.” (21)

They find the new system is worse than the old system and that the new system benefits the industry.  So why should we care about this research at all?  For at least three reasons:

  1. it identified a change in the insurance industry that has implications way beyond that industry;
  2. it compared how two different MBS evaluation systems performed; and
  3. it identified the drawbacks of the new system.

This is how we begin to build a body of knowledge about “viable alternatives to ratings.” (2) But, of course, there is much more work to be done.